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Nov 30 - 10:55 AM

EUR: Eurozone Inflation Comes Down In November, Paving Way For 50bp ECB Hike - ING

By eFXdata  —  Nov 30 - 09:30 AM

ING Research discusses its reaction to today's EZ HICP/CPI print.

"We were due some good news. The eurozone inflation rate ticked down after a few nasty upside surprises. Energy inflation has been the most important driver of the decline going from 41.5 to 34.9%. Food inflation continues to trend up, while core inflation was stable at 5%. This is still far too high, but tentative signs that we’re at or close to a peak are increasing," ING notes. 

"For the ECB though, tentative signs of inflation peaking are mounting, evidence of a wage-price spiral continues to remain absent and the environment is turning recessionary. In our view, that is likely to sway the ECB from 75 basis point hikes to a smaller hike of 50 basis points in December," ING adds. 

Source:
HSBC Research/Market Commentary

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