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May 07 - 05:55 AM

EUR/USD - Bullish Sign For Bearish EUR/USD Traders

By Jeremy Boulton  —  May 07 - 04:55 AM
  • Traders are betting $0.9 billion that EUR/USD drops

  • Bearish bet is small but traders have bought over $17 billion this year

  • The unwinding of a large bullish bet hasn't changed EUR/USD much

  • Pair traded 1.0877 EBS low on Jan 5 - now 1.0764

  • Daily chart has just recorded a golden cross - 55-DMA rising above 200-DMA

  • Bullish techs may couple with rising expectations for U.S. easing cycle

  • Spec positions currently represent little restraint any EUR/USD rise

  • Potential targets: 1.0825, 1.0886 and 1.1062

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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