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Sep 09 - 08:55 AM

GBP/USD - FX Options Aren't Betting On GBP/USD Gains

By Richard Pace  —  Sep 09 - 06:35 AM
  • Price action in FX options is not consistent with GBP/USD gains

  • There's minimal demand to cover the risk of GBP gains with GBP call options

  • 1-month risk reversal met sales of GBP calls after brief flip in late Aug

  • That contract retains a small downside strike premium since

  • Implied volatility under pressure as post NFP risk premiums pared

  • Lower implied volatility consistent with range trade/low realised volatility

  • Resistance 27 Aug hi 1.3266, March 2022 hi 1.3298, 1.3300 option barriers

  • U.S. CPI on Wednesday but volatility risk premiums far below those prior NFP

  • Standout FX option strike expiries this week nL1N3KR06U

For more click on FXBUZ

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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