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Nov 01 - 09:48 AM
USD: October Peak Of 99.67 In DXY Could Be A Significant Top; Levels To Watch - UOB
First appeared on eFXplus on Nov 01 - 08:25 AM

UOB discusses the USD Index (DXY) technical outlook and flags a possible significant top around the October peak of 99.67.

"USD Index (DXY) rose to a 29-month high of 99.67 in October before dropping back to end the month sharply lower at 97.35. The weak monthly closing is not only the largest 1-month decline in 21 months but is also an ‘outside reversal bar’. On the weekly chart, the decline took out the 20-month rising trend line connecting the low of 88.25 (Feb 2018) and the high of 99.67 (Oct 2019). The break of the strong rising trend line support coincided with weekly MACD crossing into negative territory," UOB notes. 

"All in, the above suggests 99.67 could be a significant top and the current price action is likely the early stages of a pull-back that appears to have ample room to extend lower. From here, the next weekly support is at 95.84 but the stronger support is further down at 95.02.

On the upside, resistance is at 98.80 and we doubt the October peak of 99.67 would come back into the picture for the next several month," UOB adds. 

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Source:
UOB Research/Market Commentary

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