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Aug 11 - 10:55 PM

GBP/USD - Circumspect Start To Busy Week; UK, US Inflation Data Key

By Krishna K  —  Aug 11 - 08:40 PM
  • GBP/USD consolidates in Asia after unchanged close Fri as markets stabilize

  • Supported by better risk appetite as fears of a U.S. recession wane

  • Recovery capped by repricing of Fed rate expectations

  • 50bps Sept Fed rate cut chances now at 49%, was nearly 100% early last week

  • But diverging Fed/ BOE rate expectations likely to limit GBP downside

  • Markets price in 103 bps of Fed cuts by Dec but only 45 bps of cuts by BOE

  • UK inflation, jobs & wages data, U.S. inflation data this week key for trend

  • Resistance 1.2800-10, 1.2850-60, support 1.2710-20, 1.2685

  • Fri range 1.27265-1.2773, Asia range1.27465-1.2760; Japan markets closed Mon

  • For more click on FXBUZ

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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