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Oct 21 - 03:55 AM

USD/JPY - Current Levels Suit USD/JPY Shorts

By Jeremy Boulton  —  Oct 21 - 03:20 AM
  • USD/JPY has risen 140-150 while traders short

  • FX losses supplemented by losses due to big rate differentials

  • Gap between US and Japanese int rate is more than 4.5%

  • A gap circa 3% still likely at start 2026

  • Those short are assured of int rate loses over the long-term

  • Strong resistance nearby 100-DMA 150.77, 200-DMA 151.34, cloud top 150.70

  • Daily cloud twists toward 145 in mid-Nov - twists attract

  • Shorts initiated near 150 offer good risk reward - 3 or 4 to one

  • FX traders may have run into bull trap nL1N3LX06O

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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