By Jeremy Boulton — Oct 21 - 03:20 AM
USD/JPY has risen 140-150 while traders short
FX losses supplemented by losses due to big rate differentials
Gap between US and Japanese int rate is more than 4.5%
A gap circa 3% still likely at start 2026
Those short are assured of int rate loses over the long-term
Strong resistance nearby 100-DMA 150.77, 200-DMA 151.34, cloud top 150.70
Daily cloud twists toward 145 in mid-Nov - twists attract
Shorts initiated near 150 offer good risk reward - 3 or 4 to one
FX traders may have run into bull trap nL1N3LX06O
Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary