eFXData

eFX Apex

The Institutional-Grade Data Hub

  • Plus: Discretionary Trades
  • Edge: Sentiment Trades
  • Alpha: Systematic Trades
  • Apex: Full Big Data Stream
TDUX
Oct 05 - 05:55 AM
–

EUR/USD - At Risk Of A Slump To A Major Retracement Level

By Martin Miller  —  Oct 05 - 03:41 AM

Oct 5 (Reuters) - The fragile EUR/USD could be set for a bigger slump to a major retracement level in coming sessions due to a combination of weak fundamentals and bearish developments on the weekly chart.

The euro slid sharply on Monday to a multi-month low as fiscal worries in France in the wake of a steep bond market rout stoked contagion fears in the region, helping the dollar shrug off soft US jobs data that dented near-term rate hike expectations.

EUR/USD is at risk of a deeper slide to the 1.1104 level, a 50% retracement of the 1.0125 to 1.2084 (2025 to 2026) EBS rise, in part due to last week's bearish close below the 1.1336 Fibonacci level, a 38.2% retracement of the same 1.0125 to 1.2084 gain.

The downside bias is being reinforced by the 14-week momentum reading, which has been negative for three weeks straight.
Weekly Chart


Weekly Momentum Chart


(Martin Miller is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

Source:
London Stock Exchange Group | Thomson Reuters
By continuing to browse our site, you agree to our use of cookies, Privacy Notice, and Terms of Service.
© 2026 eFXdata · All Rights Reserved