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Dec 17 - 04:55 AM

USD/JPY - Options Don't Rule Out A Surprise BoJ Hike

By Richard Pace  —  Dec 17 - 02:40 AM
  • A recent turn in FX option price action was consistent with USD/JPY gains

  • But, despite a reduction in BoJ rate hike bets, worries clearly simmer

  • Implied volatility gauges actual volatility risk - a key part of premium

  • Post BoJ expiry implied volatility remains very high - 1-week above 12.0

  • Risk reversals gauge the spot direction most likely to increase volatility

  • 1-week risk reversals increase to 1.95 JPY call over put from 1.25 last week

  • JPY calls give holders the right to buy JPY vs sell it (sell USD/JPY)

  • There have also been buyers of options that would benefit from USD/JPY drop

For more click on FXBUZ

Source:
London Stock Exchange Group | Thomson Reuters

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