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Nov 07 - 04:55 PM

GBP/USD - Holds Bulk Of Less-Dovish BoE Gains, Shrugs Off Less-Dovish Fed Cut

By Paul Spirgel  —  Nov 07 - 02:35 PM
  • GBP$ firm in NorAm afternoon, -0.7% at 1.2972; Thursday range 1.3009-1.2880

  • Pair a tad soft after Fed -25bp cut; statement tipped slightly hawkish

  • Fed cuts rates, notes labor market easing and solid economic growth

  • BoE took similar tack w/their 25bp cut; Bailey sees gradual policy shift

  • BoE brightens sterling outlook a day after US election-fueled drubbing

  • Data dependent into YE; IRPR indicates 20% odds for BoE cut

  • CME Click here tool pricing 63% odds for -25bp on Dec 18

  • GBP$ supt 1.2956 post-Fed low/200-HMA, 1.2877 Thursday low

  • Res 1.2990 the 100-DMA, 1.3050 dly cloud base, 1.3135 50% of 1.3434-1.2835

  • A close above 1.3135, 50% Fib, shifts momentum for GBP bulls for test of Oct highs

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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