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Feb 06 - 04:55 AM

GBP/USD - NFP Is A Greater Risk To GBP/USD Than BoE - Options Show

By Richard Pace  —  Feb 06 - 03:06 AM

• Overnight expiry FX options included the BoE rate decision from Wednesday

• There was no change to the price of overnight expiry GBP options Tues-Wed

• Implied volatility was 14.0 - premium/breakeven 73 USD pips either direction

• However, Overnight expiry is now Friday and therefore includes U.S. NFP

• That's lifted overnight expiry implied volatility to 17.0 or 89 USD pips

• Market fully pricing 25bps cut to 4.5% on Thursday with an 8-1 vote

• Related comment
Overnight expiry GBP/USD implied volatility


(Richard Pace is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

Source:
London Stock Exchange Group | Thomson Reuters

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