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May 04 - 03:55 PM

GBP/USD - Hits New 2023 High At 1.2599 As Bulls Shrug Off Global Rates Dip

By Paul Spirgel  —  May 04 - 01:40 PM
  • GBP$ firm into NorAm close +0.2% at 1.2595, Thursday range 1.2599-1.2550

  • Pair remains bid after Fed, ECB 25bp hikes, despite global rates slide

  • Sterling steady near 2023 high as BoE takes spotlight next nL1N3711SZ

  • BoE next DM c.bank meeting, MPC exp'd to hike 25bp keeping pace w/Fed, ECB

  • Rates key driver of FX price, futures indicate UK rates abv U.S. by Sept

  • UK rate advantage grows to 62bp by Dec 2023, +110bp by Dec 2024

  • Inflation holds key to BoE rates, U.S. CPI May 10, UK CPI May 24 in focus

  • GBP$ res 1.2599 May 4 high/up TL res from Apr highs, 1.2667 May 27 2022 high

  • Support May 4 low 1.2550, rising 10-DMA 1.2500, April 25 low 1.2388

  • Friday's U.S. payroll report f/c +180k vs 236k in Mar will be keenly watched

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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