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Nov 18 - 08:55 AM

USD/JPY - Watch FX Options For Signals On USD/JPY Risk Sentiment

By Richard Pace  —  Nov 18 - 07:10 AM
  • There's a strong reverse correlation between USD/JPY and option implied vol

  • USD/JPY implied volatility gains when USD/JPY falls and vice versa

  • Correlation demonstrated Fri-Mon, before and after BoJ gov Ueda speech

  • Benchmark 1-month up from 10.2 to 11.2 Friday-Monday and last sold 10.6

  • Sub 1-month implied volatility should remain an FX directional bellwether

  • Watch for the extent of 1-month implied volatility gains from Tuesday

  • Expiry to include perceived FX risk for Dec Fed and BoJ policy decisions

  • Volatility traders already targeting dates around those Dec 18-19 decisions

  • Citi bank's take on potential JPY intervention nL1N3MP094

For more click on FXBUZ

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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