• Steady in early Asia, after closing flat with the U.S. dollar down 0.3%
• PM Starmer, Trump discuss 'productive negotiations' on UK-US economic deal
• U.S. tariff deals will be negotiated after the April 2 tariff announcements
• There is no tier one UK data - USD and month-end rebalancing flows lead
• Charts - 5, 10, & 21-day MAs coil, as 21-day Bollinger bands contract
• Bearish daily momentum studies - the Feb/March uptrend is stalled
• 21-day moving average held, now 1.2919 - 1.2805 200 DMA is the next support
• Thursday's 1.2992 high and the 1.3015 2025 trend top are first resistance
• A close below the 1.2805 200-day moving average would end the topside bias
Andy
(Andrew Spencer is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own.)