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Oct 14 - 03:55 PM

EUR/USD - Diverging Fed-ECB Rate Expectations Keep Downside Pressure On Euro

By Paul Spirgel  —  Oct 14 - 01:35 PM
  • NY opened at 1.0927, traded steadily lower in light NY holiday trade

  • Pair dipped to 1.1898 in NY afternoon, just below the Sept. 10 low 1.1901

  • Traders focused on US-EZ rate diffs ahead of Thursday's expected 25bp EZ cut

  • Less-dovish Fed expectations after the initial -50bp cut supporting USD bid

  • Fed's Kashkari reiterated moderate Fed cut path, questioned neutral rate

  • EZ IP, ZEW survey expectations Tuesday unlikely to change ECB cut intentions

  • EUR$ supt 1.1898 Monday low, 1.0874 the flat 200-DMA, 1,0825 the 100-WMA

  • A close below 1.0901- 50% of 1.0601-1.1201 adds to bearish EUR structure

  • Res 1.0937 Monday high, 1.0979 falling 10-DMA, 1.0997 Oct. 8 daily high

  • For more click on FXBUZ

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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