By Jeremy Boulton — Mar 31 - 02:31 AM
EUR/USD has effectively reached 1.1695, 38.2% rise since Mar 23 2020
This is the minimum objective for a technical correction of the uptrend
To date the correction has been driven by unwind of longs nL1N2LS0EO
If the sell-off is to continue traders will have to short EUR/USD
EUR shorts to fund investments are more likely than EUR/USD shorts
U.S. yields have only risen a 2bps in past 2 weeks
EUR 1 year forward swap has slipped slightly this year, less weight EUR/USD
USD in focus but core of movement is related to risk/stimulus nL1N2LS0DG
EUR/USD yields and forwards Click here
Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary