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Feb 14 - 07:55 PM

EUR/USD - Familiar Levels, Steady Yield Spreads, Bias Lower

By Andrew M Spencer  —  Feb 14 - 06:15 PM

  • -0.05% after closing up just 0.1% - choppy after U.S. CPI gave few surprises

  • Yield spreads little changed, 10yr bund +5bp to 2.427%, 10yr UST +4bp 3.753%

  • Surprise strong Q4 EZ employment fueled more aggressive ECB hike fears

  • Charts; momentum studies conflict, 21 day Bollinger bands expand

  • 10 & 21 day moving averages head lower - remains a negative setup

  • Well tested falling 1.0648 lower 21 day Bollinger band supports

  • Brief 1.0805 post U.S. CPI high then 1.0814 21 DMA are first resistance

  • Bias is for a test of 1.0482 2023 low while closes below 1.0814 21 DMA

    For more click on FXBUZ


Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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