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ING Research discusses RBA rate outlook and AUD/USD targets.
"This morning, Australia reported very strong household spending data for July (7% YoY), further helping the case for more tightening. However, our macro team is still leaning towards a prolonged hold by the Reserve Bank of Australia, but we admit the hawkish risks have increased," ING notes.
"Markets are pricing in 12bp for the 29 September meeting, and we expect that pricing to be unwound, limiting AUD gains for now. Our view on AUD/USD remains upbeat into year-end with a 0.730 target, but that’s relying on our dovish Fed call, which should have a net-positive impact on the pair even if a dovish repricing in the AUD curve happens," ING adds.