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ANZ Research discusses AUD outlook for the coming week.
"We view the recent pullback in the AUD/USD as more of a healthy correction rather than a sustained downward trend. The pair is overvalued against where front end rates are, which implies that last week’s rally to a weekly high of 0.7272 (13 May) was primarily driven from risk sentiment. Ultimately, we think risk sentiment will be at the forefront of a near-term AUD/USD recovery," ANZ notes.
"In the week ahead, the AUD/USD should hold the 0.71–0.72 level, absent major geopolitical shocks developments. That said, we see scope for upside on positive geopolitical headlines given risk sentiment has somewhat normalised of late.
Looking ahead, April CPI due on Wednesday will be the main domestic event where we expect trimmed mean to have risen 0.3% m/m and 3.4% y/y. We see scope for a mild intraday pullback in the AUD/USD on an in-line or below consensus print. We would likely need a clear miss from expectations to see any sustained moves in the AUD/USD," ANZ adds.