• EUR/USD down 1.1235 to 1.1152 this week

• The year low is 1.1113

• The 200-WMA is 1.1108 - pair above this since Apr 2025

• A 50% retrace 1.0125-1.2084 2025-2026 rally is 1.1105

• Target for a break below 1.1105 is 1.0873

• Potential sell signal if 21WMA falls below 100-WMA

• EUR/USD set to close below a vital level, big losses likely

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(Jeremy Boulton is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)