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Dec 04 - 05:55 AM

AUD/USD - The AUD/USD Outlook - According To FX Options

By Richard Pace  —  Dec 04 - 05:20 AM
  • Forward looking FX options are often a good reflection of expectations

  • Crisis low implied volatility suggests lack of actual volatility

  • Premium for AUD puts over calls (downside risk) toward long term lows

  • Outright flows suggest focus on 0.7500-50 - not much above yet

  • AUD/USD option barriers expected every 50 pips from 0.7450

  • 0.7449 Thurs high,0.7443-14 range so far Friday

  • Bulls focused on 76.4% Fibo retrace of 0.8136-0.5510 drop at 0.7516

  • Initial resistance 2-double tops from July 2018 at 0.7464 and 0.7484



AUD=D3 Click here

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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