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Mar 02 - 07:55 AM

AUD/USD - Downside Conviction Low - Big Techs Contain

By Richard Pace  —  Mar 02 - 05:50 AM
  • AUD/USD inside day .6765/25, Wed range .6695-.6782. Pivots 100-dma .6742

  • Jan 6 low 0.6689 before big support 50% Fibo retrace Oct-Feb gains 0.6664

  • 200-dma 0.6794 is resistance. Overall conviction appears low for now

  • Falling FX option implied volatility is more consistent with range trade

  • 1-month by 2023 low 12.1 and can offer value as big U.S. data/Fed loom

  • Options have also reduced premium for downside versus upside strikes

  • 1-month expiry risk reversal tests Jan and 1-yr lows for AUD put/USD call





For more click on FXBUZ


Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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