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• Seems market at one on USD/JPY downside sans more FX intervention
• Unconfirmed reports puts two interventions totalling Y10 tln (@$65 bln)
• Downside limited to 155.00 on May 6, pushes up above 157.00 to spur more?
• US TsySec Bessent in Japan from today and will meet the FinMin, PM tomorrow
• Bessent-Katayama meeting in focus, will he be OK with more FX action?
• Bessent has stated need for BOJ to hike rates, will he press again?
• USD/JPY 156.48-96 EBS so far in Asia, in 156.28-158.68 daily Ichimoku cloud
• Resistance from flattening 100-DMA in cloud at 157.35
• Hourly chart shows resistance just above too at descending 157.43 200-HMA
• Dip buying interest from the Mrs Watanabes, other specs still
• Seems many choosing to add to JPY shorts rather than bailing
• JGB-US Treasury short rate differentials tad wider recently, in 2s @253 bps
• Longer rate differentials still on narrow side, in 10s @190 bps
• Massive $2.1 bln in option expiries today at 156.00, 156.65-75 $1.3 bln too
• These likely to help contain action, help support the USD/JPY downside
• Related comments , , ,
• And , also , on US NFP/economy
• US markets , , ,
• On the Fed , , on Bessent/BOJ
USD/JPY:
USD/JPY nearby option expiries this week:
(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)