By Jeremy Boulton — Jun 23 - 03:10 AM
EUR/USD has risen since Fed hiked 75bps and fuelled risk aversion
SNB also hiked which shocked but CHF did little and that is a shock too
Without a controlling hand EUR/CHF may have dumped below parity
SNB promised intervention and is probably actively supporting EUR/CHF
If SNB stops EUR/CHF falling when it should then EUR/USD is likely to rise
Having stabilized EUR/CHF to mitigate the shock SNB may step back
A slowly rising franc now suits Swiss policy which will undermine EUR/USD
The more EUR/CHF purchased, the more euros sold to rebalance reserves
Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary