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Oct 04 - 04:55 PM

EUR/USD - CORRECTED-BUZZ-COMMENT-US Recap: EUR/USD Down As US Payrolls Stunner Lifts Dollar Broadly

By Robert Fullem  —  Oct 04 - 03:05 PM

Corrects typo in lead, removes reference to Israel, Iran

The dollar index vaulted higher Friday and was on pace for its best week in two years following a strong U.S. jobs report for September.

Non-farm payrolls increased a more-than-forecast 254k on the month, the unemployment unexpectedly fell and hourly earnings grew faster than expected.

Odds of another supersized rate cut by the Fed in 2024 were erased after the data and markets now foresee two 25 basis point reductions by year end.

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said, via a Bloomberg TV interview, that he does not want to react to one data point and that policymakers must be careful keeping rates as restrictive as they currently are.

Canada’s Ivey PMI index moved back above 50 in September, indicating economic growth.

The Bank of England should move only gradually with cutting interest rates, Chief Economist Huw Pill said Friday.

The yen slumped after the U.S. data and was set for its worst week since 2009.

Israel said it targeted the intelligence headquarters of Hezbollah in Lebanon and the U.S. struck Houthi targets in Yemen Friday.

Treasury yields were 8-20 basis points higher as the curve flattened.
The 2s-10s curve was down about 8 basis points to +5.6bp.

The S&P 500 rose 0.53%.

Gold dipped 0.30% as Treasury yields firmed.

Copper edged up 0.32% as demand expectations built after the U.S. data

Oil climbed 0.69% amid concerns Middle East supplies are at risk.

Heading toward the close: EUR/USD -0.57%, USD/JPY +1.26%, GBP/USD -0.04%, AUD/USD -0.61%, DXY +0.55%, EUR/JPY +0.70%, GBP/JPY +1.38%, AUD/JPY +0.72%.



For more click on FXBUZ

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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