By Jeremy Boulton — Jun 10 - 02:50 AM
There have been two recent dramatic EUR/CHF declines from 1.05 area
Neither occurred due to a surge in risk averse behaviour
Stocks dipped and bounced after first drop, 2nd followed ECB
Other safe assets did not respond in a similar fashion to franc
Total sight deposits have grown CHF 25-30 billion since March
FX reserve has shrunk in 2022 despite apparent large scale intervention
Due Fed/SNB divergence franc has come under pressure nL1N2XW0OL
It's possible SNB is utilising this period to pare reserve
If not there is certainly a massive seller lurking ahead 1.05
EUR/CHF Click here
Swiss FX reserve Click here
Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary