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Aug 06 - 04:55 PM

GBP/USD - Tests Daily Cloud Support As Record Spec Long Unwinds Further

By Paul Spirgel  —  Aug 06 - 01:40 PM
  • GBP$ soft in NY afternoon, -0.6% at 1.2698, Tuesday range 1.2804-1.2674

  • Rates remain key determinant of price, reduced Fed cut odds weigh on GBP

  • High-beta sterling risks further declines should growth slide stir BoE cuts

  • Record GBP IMM long unwind to keep GBP on backfoot as BoE policy evolves

  • Sterling cloud top, 100-DMA support erodes amid more-dovish BoE outlook

  • Close below the daily cloud top 1.2702, 100-DMA 1.2684 adds to bearish view

  • More significant supt at 200-DMA by 1.2655 and the daily cloud base 1.2579

  • Res 1.2748 the 30-HMA, 1.2803 Tuesday high, 1.2859- 50% of 1.3044-1.2674

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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