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May 18 - 11:55 AM

EUR/USD - COMMENT-A Test Of EUR/USD's 2021 High Now Seems Likely

By Christopher Romano  —  May 18 - 09:53 AM

EUR/USD could target a rise to its 2021 high after breaking through resistance on Tuesday near 1.2185/95 that had troubled bulls, with U.S. rate views and technicals shifting in favor of the euro.

Upbeat risk sentiment drove investors into growth-related assets, buoying stocks, commodities, emerging market currencies, China's yuan CNH= and the euro.

A sharp drop in U.S. homebuilding nL2N2N41MW tempered interest rate bulls, with real US10YTIP=RR and nominal US10YT=RR yields to struggling initially and December 2022 eurodollars EDZ2 rallying, implying a push back for a Fed hike.

The rates moves weighed down the dollar, driving EUR/USD above the Feb.
26 daily high and the 76.4% Fibo of 1.2349-1.1704.

Technicals highlight upside risks for EUR/USD.
In addition to the Fibo break, daily and monthly RSIs are rising, indicating upside momentum remains.
EUR/USD also traded within a well-defined bull trend channel, the top of which is likely to be tested.

February's 1.22435 EBS monthly high and likely 1.2250 barrier option are impediments for EUR/USD bulls, but they appear vulnerable.
Breaks of those impediments will trigger stops.
The Jan.
6 1.2349 high would then become a target.

For more click on FXBUZ


eur/usd Click here

us10ytip Click here

edz2 Click here

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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