By Richard Pace — Nov 19 - 07:05 AM
DTCC reported option data shows a very big GBP/USD option trade flow
28 Dec expiry, 1.2500 GBP put/USD call, trades more than GBP 500-million
Implied volatility would have been low-mid 12's - premium around 18 GBP pips
Looks to have been a buying interest - potentially hedging no deal Brexit
Market optimistic, but time is running out, no deal remains tail risk
Option risk reversals retain a high premium for GBP puts versus calls
Benchmark 1-month risk reversals regain 0.9 from 0.7 - taking no chances
Even with a deal - GBP's upside appears limited nL1N2I50L7
1-3-12-month GBP/USD risk reversals Click here
Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary