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Dec 18 - 07:55 AM

EUR/USD - COMMENT-EUR/USD 1.00 Is One Answer To US Tariff Question

By Rob Howard  —  Dec 18 - 05:40 AM

Dec 18 (Reuters) - The likelihood of EUR/USD falling to 1.00 for the first time in over two years remains a key FX talking point on scope for U.S. trade policy to take a protectionist turn following Donald Trump's Oval Office return, with European Central Bank policymaker Pierre Wunsch adding his view Wednesday.

Wunsch told Reuters that "we've already seen the euro depreciating maybe 4 or 5% against the dollar.
So it would only take the euro to go to parity" to offset any new 10% tariffs on euro zone imports imposed by Trump's incoming administration.

The consensus expectation that EUR/USD may weaken through Trump's Jan.
20 inauguration is highlighted by CFTC data on FX positioning, which showed the net euro short position rose for a fourth consecutive week to 75,573 contracts - its highest in nearly five years, before the ECB cut interest rates last week.

Another ECB rate cut is expected on Jan.
30 - a day after the Federal Reserve is widely seen keeping rates unchanged.

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Source:
London Stock Exchange Group | Thomson Reuters

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