By Jeremy Boulton — Oct 24 - 02:30 AM
EUR/USD has rarely ventured outside of a 1.05-1.10 range this year
Currency pairs often gravitate toward the centre of ranges
In October EUR/USD drop became stretched below base 20-week Bollingers
The probability of further U.S. hikes has fallen, 3 cuts eyed next year
Intervention to underpin EUR/CHF during risk aversion would support EUR/USD
Rebalancing of any intervention would later weigh EUR/USD nL1N3BT0J8
Traders slashed EUR/USD longs, investors are long $ - hence struggle to rise
The trend that began last Sept remains intact - U.S. rate cuts may revive it
Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary