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• Despite multiple recent threats, Japan's MOF refraining from FX intervention
• Cat and mouse game with market continuing, resulting in USD/JPY inching up
• USD/JPY 161.74-79 EBS so far in Asia today, nearing 161.93 high Monday
• Offers trail up to 162.00 option barriers, defensive sales, some exporters
• Stops above seen large however and will remain at back of spec minds
• Seems JPY shorts have increased even more over the past week, market ripe?
• Intervention now would likely have good impact but BOJ help would go farther
• Demand good on dips however, Gotobi Tokyo fix today and importers eyed
• Retail and spec interest, flows too, foreigner hedging of Japan stock buys?
• Tech support from 161.68 hourly Ichimoku kijun, cloud 161.49-53 below
• Option expiries today supportive too, total $3.2 bln from 161.50 to 161.00
• Near spot between 161.70-85 $933 mln, 162.00 $782 mln, 162.50-55 $915 mln
• JGB-US Treasury 2-year rate differentials still on wide side at @177 bps
• BOJ Tamura scheduled to speak later today, more hawkish-speak?
• Related comments , , ,
• And , , , also
• US markets , , ,
• On oil/USD , for more click on [FXBUZ]
USD/JPY daily:
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(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)