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Nov 27 - 01:55 AM

AUD/USD - Subdued As Tariff Talk Dents Risk; Aus CPI Taken In Stride

By Krishna K  —  Nov 26 - 10:15 PM
  • AUD/USD unchanged Wed, shows scant reaction to lower than expected Aus CPI

  • Australia's monthly CPI +2.1% in Oct vs +2.3% forecast but core ticks up

  • Core inflation 3.5% from 3.2% in Sep, stays above RBA's 2% to 3% target band

  • AUD initially dips on headline number but recovers as inflation still sticky

  • Data unlikely to change RBA stance; Feb 25 bps cut odds at 23% from pvs 27%

  • Rate cut not fully priced in till May, will support on dips

  • Trump's tariff threats, scaling back of Fed rate expectations to cap rallies

  • Support 0.6430-35, 0.6400-05, resistance 0.6500-05, 0.6525-30

  • Asia range 0.6456-0.6485; US PCE Wed, RBA Governor Bullock speed Thu eyed

  • For more click on FXBUZ

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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