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Aug 04 - 10:55 AM

Bank of America: 3 Reasons Why Coordinated Intervention Will Likely Change Market View

By eFXdata  —  Aug 04 - 10:15 AM

Bank of America Global Research discusses the latest wave of JPY intervention.

"The view that FX intervention cannot have a lasting impact and merely alters short-term market flows seems right in many cases. However, depending on the circumstances and broader context, intervention can exert a significant influence on the market, and trigger an inflection. The current environment could be one in which this is the case," BofA notes.

"There are three key points regarding the coordinated U.S.-Japan interventionStrong commitment and high cost of failure First, the joint intervention implies the authorities' commitment to defending the yen is strong and that the cost of a failed intervention is high. Comprehensive response Second, the shift to coordinated intervention with the United States raises expectations for a broader policy framework aimed at stabilizing the yen. Intervention without a clear ceiling. Third, coordinated intervention effectively blurs the ceiling associated with unilateral currency intervention...With U.S. participation, however, the ultimate constraint on intervention has effectively been removed...
 
As a result, the market perception that FX intervention is ineffective could shift, at least over short- to medium-term horizons," BofA adds.
 
Source:
BofA Global Research

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