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Aug 08 - 07:55 AM

EUR/USD - Speculation May Lift EUR/USD Ahead Another Fall

By Jeremy Boulton  —  Aug 08 - 05:45 AM
  • EUR/USD may be underpinned by speculation surrounding U.S. rate cuts

  • Traders have bet on euro rising for most of the last two years

  • For 20 months EUR/USD has been stuck in very tight ranges

  • Little time spent above 1.1000, a few days seen over 1.11

  • The upside seems limited but traders like to gamble

  • A 1.5% gap between U.S. and eurozone rates expected to hold until end-2025

  • Underpinned short-term EUR/USD will probably return to mid 1.05-1.10 range

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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