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• USD/JPY hovers near resistance at 157.30-35 after closing 0.1% higher Mon
• Recovery attempts have met strong rejection here since Japan intervened Thu
• Has led to suspicion that Tokyo is intervening to cap USD at 157.30, 100-DMA
• Iran war escalation, higher oil and U.S. yields may force Japan rethink
• Pricing out of Fed rate cut bets in 2026 likely to limit USD downside
• Further resistance at 157.50, 158.00-10; support 156.80-85, 156.50-60
• Strong base at 155.45-50, 61.8% Fibo of Jan-April rally and recent lows
• Mon range 155.69-157.30, Asia 157.175-157.255; Japan markets closed
Tue-Wed
Japan has recently had some success with currency interventions:
(Krishna Kumar is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own.)