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• Across the board USD weakness sends USD/JPY back down into 158 handle
• From 159.64, USD/JPY to 158.04 yesterday, Asia so far today 158.03-30 EBS
• Through base of 158.92 daily Ichimoku cloud base, 200-DMA at 158.30
• Maybe in lower range capped @158.60, 158.61 retracement high post fall
• Japanese exporter sales to continue on rallies, absorb importer demand?
• News US Treasury to double long-bond buy-backs impact large, US yields off
• Japan fiscal concerns allayed to extent too as global bonds rallied
• Narrowing trend in JGB-US Treasury rate differentials could thus continue
• As of the New York close, differential in 2s @246.7 bps, in 10s @178 bps
• Fed minutes showed hawkish bias but recent data weaker, view no Sept hike
• Wall Street up as result, Nikkei likely up too, foreign buys/ccy hedges?
• Option expiries today include 158.00-10 $1.9 bln, 159.00 $985 mln
• Related comments , , ,
• Also , on Tsy buy-backs , on US debt
• US markets , , ,
• On Fed minutes , on global bonds
• On Japan's fiscal concerns , for more click on [FXBUZ]
USD/JPY:
JGB-US Treasury 2-year interest rate differential:
(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)