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Jan 30 - 05:00 PM

GBP: A Dovish Hold From BoE; Still Targeting EUR/GBPO At 0.87 In 3-Months - Danske

Published on Jan 30 - 01:00 PM

Danske Research discusses its reaction to today's BoE policy meeting.

"Against our expectation of a rate cut, the Bank of England announced the Bank Rate remains unchanged at 0.75% (vote count 7-2 unchanged). As investors thought today's decision was a coin toss, we saw a move lower in EUR/GBP from 0.848 to 0.841, so still above 0.84 as expected.  Overall, we think today's decision was a dovish hold. 

"FX: more GBP weakness is on the cards. As expected, EUR/GBP moved lower on the Bank of England's decision to remain on hold. EUR/GBP moved towards but still above 0.84 (from 0.848 ahead of the announcement). While we were wrong in calling for a rate cut, we still think more GBP weakness is on the cards this year. Near-term, we think GBP will remain sensitive to post-election data releases. If we are right that the economy will disappoint, we could see a repricing of the Bank of England, sending EUR/GBP higher. We are targeting the cross to move towards 0.87 in 3M," Danske adds. 



Danske Research/Market Commentary


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