By Richard Pace — Sep 11 - 06:40 AM
FX volatility is an unknown, yet key parameter of an FX option premium
Implied volatility is an estimate for FX actual/realised volatility
If realised matches implied volatility over life of option - premium covered
Any more/less realised volatility decides profit/loss
This makes FX volatility a tradable asset with options providing the vehicle
Historic volatility is past realised volatility and a fair value measure
Benchmark 1-month GBP/USD implied drifts lower to mid 6's of late
1-month daily historic volatility has recently edged up to the mid 6's
A repeat performance of past months GBP realised volatility covers premium
For more click on FXBUZ
Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary