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Aug 27 - 06:55 AM

EUR/USD - Oil's Sudden Rise Badly Timed For EUR/USD Rally

By Jeremy Boulton  —  Aug 27 - 05:20 AM
  • Brent Crude oil rising sharply when EUR/USD approaching last year's high

  • Eurozone imports oil while U.S. exports it

  • Higher oil will lessen the chance Fed cuts rates nL1N3KE09I

  • Speculation helps lift EUR/USD from 1.0666 on Jun 26 to 1.1201 Aug 26

  • The 2023 peak at 1.1276 is close 61.8 retrace 2021-2023 drop which is 1.1271

  • Sustained rise over 1.1271 likely followed by much bigger rise

  • Should Fed not meet expectations, return to well trodden ranges likely

  • Gamblers bad track record is good news for USD nL1N3KE07T

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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