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Oct 15 - 08:55 AM

AUD/USD - Options Wake Up To Increased 0.7000 Barrier Threat

By Richard Pace  —  Oct 15 - 06:40 AM
  • AUD/USD options flagged event risk Wed's nL1N2H50EB, proved founded

  • AUD lower after RBA Lowe comments, broader risk aversion, firmer USD

  • Below daily cloud base, breaks 100-dma and 61.8% of .7006-.7243 at .7096/93

  • A break/close below 76.4% Fibo at 0.7061 opens full retrace to 0.7006

  • Big option barriers 0.7000, many cash longs have stops below - now wary

  • Option implied volatility higher to reflect greater perceived risk

  • 1-week up 1.0, 1-month up 0.5 since early Wednesday



1-week and 1-month AUD/USD implied volatility Click here

AUD=D3 Click here

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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