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Mar 05 - 03:55 AM

EUR/USD - Downside Vulnerable To ECB - Options Concur

By Richard Pace  —  Mar 05 - 02:10 AM
  • EUR/USD could be vulnerable to the ECB policy announcement on Thursday

  • Rates expected to remain on hold at 4% before first cut likely in June

  • However, risk that ECB lowers inflation forecast, downgrades growth outlook

  • That could bring rate cut expectations forward and weigh EUR

  • FX option pricing shows a well supported premium for EUR puts over calls

  • Suggests option dealers see more risk to EUR/USD downside, than its upside

  • When will FX volatility pick up from 2-year lows? nL2N3FI0HJ

  • Related nL2N3FI1AY

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Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary


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