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Jul 30 - 09:55 PM

GBP/USD - Yield Spread Outlook Provides Underlying Support

By Andrew M Spencer  —  Jul 30 - 08:10 PM
  • Steady after closing up 0.4% on Friday, supported by wider yield spreads

  • 10yr gilt +1bp to 4.325% and 10yr Treasury yields -5bp to 3.969%

  • BOEWATCH prices a 25pt Aug 3 hike to 5.25% at 73.3% and 50pts at 26.7%

  • Yield expectations in the next 6 months provide underlying sterling support

  • Charts, daily momentum studies slip, 21-day Bollinger bands contract

  • 5, 10 & 21-day moving averages coil, signals show no significant bias

  • Friday's 1.2766 low in Asia and 1.2726, 50% May/July rise initial support

  • 1.2885/86 10 & 21-day moving averages then NY 1.2888 high are first supports

    For more click on FXBUZ

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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