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Oct 18 - 08:55 AM

GBP/USD - FX Options Reflect Current GBP/USD Situation

By Richard Pace  —  Oct 18 - 06:40 AM
  • UK CPI beat expectations but subsequent GBP/USD gains struggled above 1.2200

  • Hedge flows from massive £2.7-billion 1.2200-15 strike expiries capped

  • £1.3-billion 1.2140-60 Thursday can underpin. CPI risk premiums pared

  • FX option implied volatility slips, less reason to hold protection post CPI

  • 1-week expiry implied vol sold 8.5-7.7 and 1-month 8.4-8.3 post CPI

  • Sales of Overnight implied vol too - especially 1.2140-50 strikes at 10.5

  • However, trade flows still show concerns about an eventual 1.2000 test/break

  • USD call options with RKO triggers can hedge that scenario nL1N3BN0PU

For more click on FXBUZ

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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