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Sep 06 - 08:55 AM

EUR/USD - FX Options Hedge Growing Risk Of More EUR/USD Gains

By Richard Pace  —  Sep 06 - 06:55 AM
  • FX option flows have seen strong demand for post NFP USD put options

  • That demand has lifted topside over downside strike premiums in EUR/USD

  • Sub 1-month expiry risk reversal contracts regain USD put vs call premium

  • Benchmark 1-month expiry 25 delta risk reversal trades 0.15 for USD puts

  • Reached 4-year high 0.4 late Aug, but quickly returned to favour USD calls

  • Outright demand for short dated expiry USD puts noted - strikes to 1.1200+

  • Overnight expiry options hold biggest NFP FX volatility risk premium in 2024

  • Recent price action suggests NFP miss could see biggest FX reaction

  • Related comment nL1N3KG09E

For more click on FXBUZ

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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