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• USD/JPY consolidating on 159 while Tokyo slept, Asia today 159.26-32 EBS
• Seems some nervousness over fresh Japan FX intervention still but nothing
• Could be Japan awaiting September's likely BOJ hike but already discounted?
• Only fresh intervention will get JPY higher but effectiveness questioned
• USD on back foot elsewhere, USD up vs JPY on fresh hedging of stock buys?
• Nikkei decent rise Monday to 67,006.84, when USD/JPY broke back above 159
• Nikkei maybe heavier today with Wall St off overnight but downside limited?
• Japanese importers look to buy into any dips as heretofore
• Technically, USD/JPY back in 158.92-161.38 daily Ichimoku cloud
• 100-DMA 160.01 in cloud, 200-DMA below cloud at 158.15
• Hourly Ichimoku kijun 159.16, cloud 158.02-82 below, supportive too
• Option expiries likely to help contain spot action today with market thin
• 159.00 $1.3 bln, 159.05-45 total $473 mln, 159.50-75 $1.3 bln
• JGB-US Treasury rate differentials narrower still but shrugged off
• In 2s differential to @258 bps, in 10s holding @184 bps
• Related comments , , ,
• Also , on US rates
• US markets , , ,
• More on crude , on Middle East ,
USD/JPY:
Nikkei 225:
JGB-US Treasury interest rate differential:
(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)