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• EUR/USD is trading below the 100-MMA at 1.1194
• Pair slumped rough 1.19 toward 0.95 on last closing break below
• The 100-MMA then capped EUR/USD for several years
• Immediate target for a break is 1.0873
• Potentially EUR/USD could retrace entire 1.0125-1.2084 rise
• Much higher oil weighing EUR/USD and vital level for crude close
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EUR/USD

(Jeremy Boulton is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)