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Aug 27 - 12:55 PM

Credit Agricole: Month-End Fixing Model Signals Neutral Flows, Strongest Signal is Long GBP/USD into The Fix

By eFXdata  —  Aug 27 - 10:45 AM

Synopsis:

Credit Agricole's month-end fixing model suggests overall neutral flows with a notable signal to buy GBP/USD.

Key Points:

  • Mixed Global Equity Markets: August saw mixed performance in global equity markets, leading to a generally neutral flow outlook for month-end portfolio rebalancing.
  • USD Underperformance: The US dollar underperformed across the board in August, influencing the flow signals.
  • Neutral Rebalancing Flows: The model indicates neutral flows across most currency pairs, with no strong bias in any particular direction.
  • Strongest Signal for GBP/USD: The strongest signal from the model is a recommendation to buy GBP against the USD, driven by rebalancing flows.

Conclusion: 

Credit Agricole's month-end fixing model points to neutral flows overall, with a specific emphasis on buying GBP/USD, suggesting that investors may see opportunities in the British pound relative to the US dollar.

Source:
Crédit Agricole Research/Market Commentary

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