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Nov 20 - 07:55 AM

EUR/USD - RPT-BUZZ-EUR/USD Downside Warning From The FX Option Market

By Richard Pace  —  Nov 20 - 05:40 AM

Repeats with no changes

  • There's renewed demand and growing premiums for EUR put/USD call options

  • 1-month 25 delta risk reversals reach a new high since July at 0.7

  • 2-month 25 delta paid huge amounts at 0.875 Wednesday and is now 0.925

  • Risk reversals show the implied volatility premium for USD calls vs USD puts

  • Implied volatility gauges realised/actual volatility risks for FX options

  • Price action shows EUR/USD still perceived as vulnerable to deeper declines

  • Huge near term expiry option strikes in 1.05-1.06 zone help contain for now

For more click on FXBUZ

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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