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Sep 25 - 05:55 AM

USD/JPY - It's Easier To Profit Buying USD/JPY Which May Prove Key

By Jeremy Boulton  —  Sep 25 - 03:55 AM
  • USD/JPY has slipped into a 140-150 consolidation phase nL1N3JV08D

  • Volatility has sunk from early Aug peak while stocks have surged

  • Further stimulus likely to inflate stocks and promote carry trades

  • One month USD/JPY swap is 62 pips - almost 0.5% int-rate return for longs

  • Traders now short USD are losing daily when USD/JPY not moving

  • Net short position is $5 billion - potential for squeeze

  • Correction to 139.58 refreshed the uptrend - 38.2% 2021-2024 rise is 139.28

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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