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Aug 31 - 08:55 AM

EUR/USD - FX Options Show Simmering Caution About EUR/USD Downside

By Richard Pace  —  Aug 31 - 07:05 AM
  • FX option volatility and downside strike premiums below recent and l-t highs

  • Benchmark 1-month implied volatility 6.75 from a 7.3 peak last week

  • 1-month 25 delta risk reversals 0.35 from 0.5 vol premium EUR put over call

  • However, buyers re-emerge at 6.8 and 0.375 respectively early Thursday

  • Market vulnerable to volatility/USD gains from strong PCE Thurs/NFP Friday

  • Weak data should cap USD and favour more short volatility trades thereafter

For more click on FXBUZ

Source:
Refinitiv IFR Research/Market Commentary

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